Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 1.044245 1.180970 1.329980 1.504618 1.703915 1.924533 2.187638
2026-02-08 0.809142 0.989363 1.202618 1.474349 1.812512 2.220946 2.753857
2026-02-15 0.693774 0.894894 1.146733 1.486824 1.936546 2.514240 3.317986
2026-02-22 0.606309 0.816389 1.091721 1.481483 2.023081 2.754943 3.828823
2026-03-01 0.535026 0.747225 1.036368 1.462587 2.080732 2.953572 4.295257
2026-03-08 0.468317 0.675168 0.966745 1.412052 2.082655 3.067091 4.644180
2026-03-15 0.425847 0.632181 0.932282 1.405929 2.144675 3.269322 5.142501
2026-03-22 0.407857 0.622737 0.944826 1.469590 2.316396 3.652057 5.963075
2026-03-29 0.376228 0.588985 0.916568 1.465670 2.379241 3.866990 6.531525
2026-04-05 0.354227 0.567932 0.905530 1.487066 2.483496 4.157071 7.256540
2026-04-12 0.326419 0.534817 0.871813 1.466959 2.514583 4.324825 7.782754
2026-04-19 0.301862 0.504809 0.840321 1.447019 2.542737 4.488116 8.316035
2026-04-26 0.274699 0.470201 0.801643 1.417393 2.562665 4.660445 8.932126
2026-05-03 0.250082 0.438143 0.765106 1.389255 2.585120 4.845831 9.612513
2026-05-10 0.234434 0.420255 0.751464 1.400959 2.682647 5.183156 10.642850
2026-05-17 0.218148 0.399528 0.730437 1.395946 2.746259 5.460308 11.586141
2026-05-24 0.201945 0.377362 0.704474 1.378210 2.781635 5.683335 12.443113
2026-05-31 0.183827 0.349870 0.665764 1.330774 2.749953 5.761824 12.986938
2026-06-07 0.172325 0.334175 0.648451 1.325026 2.805209 6.032141 14.011320
2026-06-14 0.168860 0.334052 0.661891 1.384784 3.009064 6.654202 15.967845
2026-06-21 0.159150 0.320388 0.646562 1.381103 3.070863 6.961392 17.195828
2026-06-28 0.152505 0.312456 0.642326 1.401186 3.189035 7.414078 18.863829
2026-07-05 0.142879 0.297413 0.621717 1.382314 3.213519 7.644997 19.985138